"Three-Dimensional Chess": Dissecting the Political, Economic, and Military Layers of US-PRC-ROC Relations in 2019

Colloquium | March 18 | 5-7 p.m. | 180 Doe Library

 Yukon Huang, Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Asia Program; T.J. Pempel, Jack M. Forcey Professor of Political Science, UC Berkeley

 Brian Tsui and Tim Smith, on behalf of Strait Talk at UC Berkeley

 Institute of East Asian Studies (IEAS)

In the past six months, relations between the United States, the People’s Republic of China, and the Republic of China have been subject to significant tensions. President Trump escalated US military ties with the ROC, Chairman Xi Jinping declared that the ROC “must and will be united” with the PRC, and President Tsai Ing-Wen criticized understandings of a “1992 consensus”. Cross-strait relations have played an increasingly greater role in the political, economic, and military relations between the three parties. How can conflict best be resolved, mitigated, or addressed in the Taiwan Straits? Do closer US-ROC ties impede closer US-PRC ties, and vice versa?

Strait Talk at UC Berkeley looks forward to exploring these topics with guest speakers Yukon Huang and TJ Pempel. Dr. Huang will examine the economic and financial circumstances governing cross strait relations. Professor Pempel will discuss recent political circumstances, drawing upon the political and military challenges faced by policymakers in the region. Discussion with moderators, attendees, and Strait Talk delegates will assess cross-strait relations with a view toward the future of conflict resolution in PRC-ROC-US relations.

*The phrase and analogy “Three Dimensional Chess” is from Michael J. Green’s By More than Providence: Grand Strategy and American Power in the Asia Pacific Since 1783 (New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 2017).

 ieas@berkeley.edu, 510-642-2809