The New Asian Disorder: Diagnosis and Prognosis

Conference/Symposium | March 15 | 9 a.m.-6 p.m. | 180 Doe Library

 Institute of East Asian Studies (IEAS)

East Asia since 2010 has been characterized by the rise of China and the relative decline of the United States (US), and by a corresponding disorder as China has increasingly openly 1 defied the game rules set by the erstwhile hegemon and begun to outline an alternative set of rules. The purpose of this conference is to analyze the options open to the various East Asian actors—not only
China and the United States, but Russia, Japan, Taiwan, and the ASEAN states. At a time of a rebirth of power
politics the first panel will focus on the kinetic or strategic dimension. This will necessarily involve a comparison of arms budgets and military capabilities of the various actors, but more importantly a discussion of their alliance choices, joint war games, arms sales and “grand strategies.” The second panel will focus on attempts to expand influence peaceably through transnational identity revision, either via soft power or using what has been termed “sharp” power involving the use of ethnic appeals, cyberpolitics, and other subversive if not necessarily illegal techniques. The purpose has been to reconfigure identities as a way of reorienting national policy choices. The third panel will focus on political economy. On the one hand this will include domestic developmental
trajectories of the various actors and on how they intersect or diverge, and on how they use economic statecraft to
get what they want from others. On the other it will involve international and intraregional trade and investment flows and bilateral and multilateral attempts to manage economic and strategic relations through various forums (APEC, ASEAN and its various affiliates, China’s Belt and Road Initiative, the network of preferential trade agreements).

 ieas@berkeley.edu, 510-642-2809