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The Long-Term Impact of the Financial Crisis and The Future of Chimerica

Lecture: Travers Series on U.S. Foreign Policy | November 16 | 4 p.m. | Alumni House, Toll Room

Speaker/Performer: Niall Ferguson, Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History at Harvard University and William Ziegler Professor at Harvard Business School.

Sponsors: International Studies, Institute of, Governmental Studies, Institute of, History, Department of, Haas School of Business

When does a rising power become a threat? There is seldom a single moment. A century ago, AngloGerman antagonism was still a relatively new phenomenon; an alliance between the two empires seemed plausible as late as 1899. Likewise, the United States took time to identify Japan as a serious rival in the Pacific region; it was not until the 1930s that relations really soured. In both cases, the perception of a strategic threat was slow to grow. But grow it did—and ultimately it led to war. Could the same be happening to the United States and China today? Are we imperceptibly but inexorably slipping from cooperation to competition?

Event Contact: iis@berkeley.edu, 510-642-2474