34th Colin and Elsa Miller Lecture: US-Russian Relations and the Great Trump Disruption

Lecture | March 21 | 5:15-6:45 p.m. | Stephens Hall, Geballe Room (220)

 Edward W. Walker, Research Associate, ISEEES, UC Berkeley

 Institute of Slavic, East European, and Eurasian Studies (ISEEES)

A decade ago, Russia was a low priority for American foreign policy. Today, it's rare for the New York Times not to have at least one front page article on Russia or the Mueller investigation into Russian “meddling" in US internal affairs. A decade ago, it was comparatively easy to identify trends in US-Russian relations (they were getting worse). Likewise, it was comparatively easy to forecast where US-Russian relations were headed (they were likely to keep getting worse). Today, trends are unclear. Has the relationship improved or deteriorated under Trump? It's even more difficult to forecast where we’re headed. What happens, for example, if the US withdraws from NATO? If nothing else, the Trump presidency has introduced an enormous amount of uncertainty into the relationship. Walker will discuss some of the possibilities, identify what he thinks the key drivers of the relationship will be, and outline how the Kremlin likely analyzes what lies ahead.